Bristol City vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipFri, 30 Jan 2026

Bristol City

WLDWL

Fri, 30 Jan 202621:00

0 : 5

Full time

Derby

DWWLL

Pre-match win probability

42.9%Bristol City28.6%Draw28.6%Derby

Our prediction

Draw · Bristol City

Bristol City vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence42.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Bristol City 42.9%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Derby 28.6%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Bristol CityDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.8% · 1.73
3.5 goals6% · 419.1% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Bristol City2.2
Draw3.3
Derby3.3

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Bristol City

Chance42.9%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

Derby

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.3

Bristol CityDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Bristol City vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Fri, 30 Jan 2026

Bristol City meet Derby in the England, Championship on 30 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Bristol City at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Bristol City vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is Bristol City vs Derby?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 30 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Bristol City vs Derby?

Bristol City is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.73.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Bristol City vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats