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Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónFri, 11 Sept 2026

Burgos

Fri, 11 Sept 202619:30

3 : 1

Full time

AD Ceuta FC

Pre-match win probability

58.1%Burgos26.2%Draw15.7%AD Ceuta FC

Our prediction

Burgos

Burgos is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.62
Confidence58.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burgos 58.1%
  • Draw 26.2%
  • AD Ceuta FC 15.7%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

BurgosAD Ceuta FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X66.8%
X233.2%

Match result

Burgos1.62
Draw3.6
AD Ceuta FC6

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance66.8%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance33.2%
Odds2.25

Burgos

Chance58.1%
Odds1.62

Draw

Chance26.2%
Odds3.6

AD Ceuta FC

Chance15.7%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Burgos at 1.62

BurgosAD Ceuta FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall79%21%

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Fri, 11 Sept 2026

Burgos meet AD Ceuta FC in the Spain, Segunda División on 11 September 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Burgos at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 11 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC?

Burgos is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Burgos vs AD Ceuta FC prediction, H2H and stats