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Burgos vs Eldense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 27 Sept 2026

Burgos

6th in table · 20 pts

WLLWW

Sun, 27 Sept 202617:30

1 : 0

Full time

Eldense

13th in table · 14 pts

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

45.2%Burgos29.2%Draw25.6%Eldense

Our prediction

Burgos

Burgos is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.1
Confidence45.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burgos 45.2%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Eldense 25.6%

Season statistics

Segunda División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

BurgosEldense
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.2
Wins
64
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Burgos4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 26 OctFC Andorra2 – 3BurgosW
  • 18 OctBurgos1 – 0SabadellW
  • 12 OctBurgos0 – 1Granada CFL
  • 3 OctAlmeria2 – 1BurgosL
  • 20 SeptLas Palmas1 – 2BurgosW
Eldense4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctAlbacete2 – 0EldenseL
  • 18 OctValladolid2 – 3EldenseW
  • 10 OctEldense2 – 1CordobaW
  • 2 OctEldense4 – 1OviedoW
  • 19 SeptEldense1 – 2EibarL
H2H
Head to headBurgos 1W · 1D · Eldense 3W · 1.4 goals a game
  • 29 MarEldense0 – 0Burgos
  • 8 DecBurgos1 – 0Eldense
  • 10 MayBurgos1 – 2Eldense
  • 5 NovEldense2 – 0Burgos
  • 22 DecEldense1 – 0Burgos

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Burgos2.1
Draw3.25
Eldense3.7

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.73

Burgos

Chance45.2%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.25

Eldense

Chance25.6%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Burgos at 2.1

BurgosEldense
Recent form50%50%
Attack48%52%
Defence51%49%
Goals model48%52%
Head-to-head30%70%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Segunda División

Burgos scored 1.3 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Burgos conceded 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Segunda División

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Burgos vs Eldense: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

Burgos meet Eldense in the Spain, Segunda División on 27 September 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Burgos at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burgos vs Eldense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Burgos vs Eldense?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Burgos vs Eldense?

Burgos is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.