Burgos vs Valencia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Copa del ReyThu, 15 Jan 2026

Burgos

WLDWW

Thu, 15 Jan 202621:00

0 : 2

Full time

Valencia

DLDWL

Pre-match win probability

26.4%Burgos29.9%Draw43.7%Valencia

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Burgos

Burgos vs Valencia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence43.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burgos 26.4%
  • Draw 29.9%
  • Valencia 43.7%

Season statistics

Copa del Rey · highlighted side is stronger

BurgosValencia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.3% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.8% · 2.415.3% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.2% · 4.519.9% · 1.18

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X43.4%
X256.6%

Match result

Burgos3.4
Draw3
Valencia2.05

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance43.4%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance56.6%
Odds1.28

Burgos

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

Draw

Chance29.9%
Odds3

Valencia

Chance43.7%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.28

BurgosValencia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall38%62%

Burgos vs Valencia: prediction & preview

Spain · Copa del Rey · Thu, 15 Jan 2026

Burgos meet Valencia in the Spain, Copa del Rey on 15 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Valencia at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 61.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burgos vs Valencia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Burgos vs Valencia?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 15 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Burgos vs Valencia?

Valencia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 43.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Burgos vs Valencia prediction, H2H and stats