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Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 10 May 2026

Burnley

LLLLL

Sun, 10 May 202614:00

2 : 2

Full time

Aston Villa

WLLLW

Pre-match win probability

15.7%Burnley21.7%Draw62.6%Aston Villa

Our prediction

Away · Burnley

Burnley vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence62.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burnley 15.7%
  • Draw 21.7%
  • Aston Villa 62.6%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

BurnleyAston Villa

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Burnley0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Aston Villa0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
      1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
      2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
      3.5 goals7.4% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

      Both teams to score

      Yes50%
      No50%

      Double chance

      1X33.1%
      X266.9%

      Match result

      Burnley6
      Draw4.33
      Aston Villa1.5

      Both teams to score

      Yes50% · 1.91
      No50% · 1.91

      1X

      Chance33.1%
      Odds2.3

      X2

      Chance66.9%
      Odds1.14

      Burnley

      Chance15.7%
      Odds6

      Draw

      Chance21.7%
      Odds4.33

      Aston Villa

      Chance62.6%
      Odds1.5

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Away at 1.5

      BurnleyAston Villa
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall20%80%

      Burnley vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

      England · Premier League · Sun, 10 May 2026

      Burnley meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 10 May 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Burnley vs Aston Villa FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Burnley vs Aston Villa?

      Kickoff is 14:00 on 10 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Burnley vs Aston Villa?

      Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.6%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

      Burnley vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats