Burnley vs Brighton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Burnley

LDLLD

Sat, 11 Apr 202615:00

0 : 2

Full time

Brighton

WWLWW

Pre-match win probability

19.2%Burnley22.8%Draw58%Brighton

Our prediction

Away · Burnley

Burnley vs Brighton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.65
Confidence58%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burnley 19.2%
  • Draw 22.8%
  • Brighton 58%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

BurnleyBrighton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X35.4%
X264.6%

Match result

Burnley5
Draw4.2
Brighton1.65

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance35.4%
Odds2.15

X2

Chance64.6%
Odds1.18

Burnley

Chance19.2%
Odds5

Draw

Chance22.8%
Odds4.2

Brighton

Chance58%
Odds1.65

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.65

BurnleyBrighton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall25%75%

Burnley vs Brighton: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 11 Apr 2026

Burnley meet Brighton in the England, Premier League on 11 April 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Brighton at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burnley vs Brighton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Burnley vs Brighton?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 11 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Burnley vs Brighton?

Brighton is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 58%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Burnley vs Brighton prediction, H2H and stats