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Burnley vs Leeds Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 18 Oct 2025

Burnley

Sat, 18 Oct 202515:00

2 : 0

Full time

Leeds

Pre-match win probability

28.2%Burnley29.3%Draw42.5%Leeds

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Burnley

Burnley vs Leeds listed tip from the board.

Odds1.35
Confidence42.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burnley 28.2%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Leeds 42.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

BurnleyLeeds

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.033.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals17% · 1.378.2% · 2.83
2.5 goals10.1% · 2.3213.6% · 1.71
3.5 goals5.8% · 419.4% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes49.2%
No50.8%

Double chance

1X44.6%
X255.4%

Match result

Burnley3.49
Draw3.36
Leeds2.32

Both teams to score

Yes49.2% · 1.89
No50.8% · 1.83

1X

Chance44.6%
Odds1.68

X2

Chance55.4%
Odds1.35

Burnley

Chance28.2%
Odds3.49

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.36

Leeds

Chance42.5%
Odds2.32

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.35

BurnleyLeeds
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

Burnley vs Leeds: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 18 Oct 2025

Burnley meet Leeds in the England, Premier League on 18 October 2025 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Leeds at 2.32. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.71, about 57.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burnley vs Leeds FAQs

4 questions

What time is Burnley vs Leeds?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 18 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Burnley vs Leeds?

Leeds is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.32. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.32 and under 2.5 is 1.71.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.89. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Burnley vs Leeds prediction, H2H and stats