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Burnley vs Manchester City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueWed, 22 Apr 2026

Burnley

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Wed, 22 Apr 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Manchester City

WWWWL

Pre-match win probability

5.5%Burnley10.5%Draw84%Manchester City

Our prediction

Away · Burnley

Burnley vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.12
Confidence84%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burnley 5.5%
  • Draw 10.5%
  • Manchester City 84%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

BurnleyManchester City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.7% · 1.010.9% · 26
1.5 goals21.8% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals18% · 1.337% · 3.4
3.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X15.6%
X284.4%

Match result

Burnley17
Draw9
Manchester City1.12

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance15.6%
Odds5.5

X2

Chance84.4%
Odds1.02

Burnley

Chance5.5%
Odds17

Draw

Chance10.5%
Odds9

Manchester City

Chance84%
Odds1.12

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.12

BurnleyManchester City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall6%94%

Burnley vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Wed, 22 Apr 2026

Burnley meet Manchester City in the England, Premier League on 22 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.12. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 84% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.33, about 71.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burnley vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Burnley vs Manchester City?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 22 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Burnley vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.12. The margin-adjusted share is about 84%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.33 and under 2.5 is 3.4.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Burnley vs Manchester City prediction, H2H and stats