Get Premium

Burnley vs Millwall Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 10 Jan 2026

Burnley

Sat, 10 Jan 202616:00

5 : 1

Full time

Millwall

Pre-match win probability

49.8%Burnley27.1%Draw23.1%Millwall

Our prediction

Burnley

Burnley is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.9
Confidence49.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Burnley 49.8%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Millwall 23.1%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

BurnleyMillwall

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.4% · 1.9112.4% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X61%
X239%

Match result

Burnley1.9
Draw3.5
Millwall4.1

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance61%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance39%
Odds1.91

Burnley

Chance49.8%
Odds1.9

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Millwall

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Burnley at 1.9

BurnleyMillwall
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Burnley vs Millwall: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 10 Jan 2026

Burnley meet Millwall in the England, FA Cup on 10 January 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Burnley at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Burnley vs Millwall FAQs

4 questions

What time is Burnley vs Millwall?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 10 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Burnley vs Millwall?

Burnley is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Burnley vs Millwall prediction, H2H and stats