CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

CA La Paz

LDWDW

Thu, 5 Mar 202604:00

3 : 0

Full time

Leones Negros UDG

DDLLD

Pre-match win probability

43%CA La Paz24.2%Draw32.8%Leones Negros UDG

Our prediction

Home or Draw · CA La Paz

CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence43%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • CA La Paz 43%
  • Draw 24.2%
  • Leones Negros UDG 32.8%

Season statistics

Liga de Expansión MX · highlighted side is stronger

CA La PazLeones Negros UDG

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals58.1% · 1.6241.9% · 2.25

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

CA La Paz2.2
Draw3.9
Leones Negros UDG2.88

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

CA La Paz

Chance43%
Odds2.2

Draw

Chance24.2%
Odds3.9

Leones Negros UDG

Chance32.8%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.4

CA La PazLeones Negros UDG
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · Thu, 5 Mar 2026

CA La Paz meet Leones Negros UDG in the Mexico, Liga de Expansión MX on 5 March 2026 at 04:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is CA La Paz at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 43% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG FAQs

4 questions

What time is CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG?

Kickoff is 04:00 on 5 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG?

CA La Paz is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 43%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.25.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

CA La Paz vs Leones Negros UDG prediction, H2H and stats