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Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipSat, 21 Feb 2026

Caerau (Ely)

WWWWL

Sat, 21 Feb 202615:00

3 : 4

Full time

Carmarthen Town

LDWDD

Pre-match win probability

49.3%Caerau (Ely)24.6%Draw26.1%Carmarthen Town

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Caerau (Ely)

Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.83
Confidence49.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caerau (Ely) 49.3%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Carmarthen Town 26.1%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Caerau (Ely)Carmarthen Town
Goals scored (avg)
2.4–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.5–

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Caerau (Ely)7W 0D 3L in last 10
  • 23 OctCaerau (Ely)0 – 2Llantwit MajorL
  • 16 OctCaerau (Ely)6 – 0llanelli AFCW
  • 10 OctAberystwyth Town0 – 1Caerau (Ely)W
  • 2 OctCaerau (Ely)2 – 0Afan LidoW
  • 26 SeptCardiff Draconians1 – 3Caerau (Ely)W
Carmarthen Town0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals54.6% · 1.7345.4% · 2.08

    Double chance

    1X59.4%
    X240.6%

    Match result

    Caerau (Ely)1.8
    Draw3.6
    Carmarthen Town3.4

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance59.4%
    Odds1.25

    X2

    Chance40.6%
    Odds1.83

    Caerau (Ely)

    Chance49.3%
    Odds1.8

    Draw

    Chance24.6%
    Odds3.6

    Carmarthen Town

    Chance26.1%
    Odds3.4

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.83

    Caerau (Ely)Carmarthen Town
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack71%29%
    Defence60%40%
    Goals model71%29%
    Overall65%35%

    Trends

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Caerau (Ely) scored 2.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Caerau (Ely) conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · FAW Championship

    Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

    Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town: prediction & preview

    Wales · FAW Championship · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

    Caerau (Ely) meet Carmarthen Town in the Wales, FAW Championship on 21 February 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caerau (Ely) at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Caerau (Ely) vs Carmarthen Town?

    Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.