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Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · FAW ChampionshipTue, 21 Oct 2025

Caerau (Ely)

Tue, 21 Oct 202519:30

4 : 3

Full time

Newport City

Pre-match win probability

38.5%Caerau (Ely)23.9%Draw37.6%Newport City

Our prediction

Caerau (Ely)

Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.34
Confidence38.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caerau (Ely) 38.5%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Newport City 37.6%

Season statistics

FAW Championship · highlighted side is stronger

Caerau (Ely)Newport City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
1.5 goals26.2% · 1.167.4% · 4.1
2.5 goals18.3% · 1.6614.5% · 2.09
3.5 goals11.2% · 2.722.3% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes59.1%
No40.9%

Double chance

1X50.3%
X249.7%

Match result

Caerau (Ely)2.34
Draw3.78
Newport City2.4

Both teams to score

Yes59.1% · 1.56
No40.9% · 2.25

1X

Chance50.3%
Odds1.45

X2

Chance49.7%
Odds1.47

Caerau (Ely)

Chance38.5%
Odds2.34

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.78

Newport City

Chance37.6%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Caerau (Ely) at 2.34

Caerau (Ely)Newport City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City: prediction & preview

Wales · FAW Championship · Tue, 21 Oct 2025

Caerau (Ely) meet Newport City in the Wales, FAW Championship on 21 October 2025 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caerau (Ely) at 2.34. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.66, about 55.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.56.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 21 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City?

Caerau (Ely) is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.34. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.66 and under 2.5 is 2.09.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.56. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Caerau (Ely) vs Newport City prediction, H2H and stats