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Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · Welsh CupSat, 31 Jan 2026

Caernarfon Town

Sat, 31 Jan 202618:15

4 : 1

Full time

Colwyn Bay

Pre-match win probability

45%Caernarfon Town25%Draw30%Colwyn Bay

Our prediction

Caernarfon Town

Caernarfon Town is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence45%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caernarfon Town 45%
  • Draw 25%
  • Colwyn Bay 30%

Season statistics

Welsh Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.1% · 1.175.2% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.610.2% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.6% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X56.2%
X243.8%

Match result

Caernarfon Town2
Draw3.6
Colwyn Bay3

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance56.2%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance43.8%
Odds1.67

Caernarfon Town

Chance45%
Odds2

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.6

Colwyn Bay

Chance30%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Caernarfon Town at 2

Caernarfon TownColwyn Bay
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay: prediction & preview

Wales · Welsh Cup · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Caernarfon Town meet Colwyn Bay in the Wales, Welsh Cup on 31 January 2026 at 18:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caernarfon Town at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay FAQs

4 questions

What time is Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Kickoff is 18:15 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?

Caernarfon Town is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 45%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.