Cagliari vs Napoli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie AFri, 20 Mar 2026

Cagliari

Fri, 20 Mar 202618:30

0 : 1

Full time

Napoli

Pre-match win probability

18.9%Cagliari27%Draw54.1%Napoli

Our prediction

Napoli

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.75
Confidence54.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cagliari 18.9%
  • Draw 27%
  • Napoli 54.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

CagliariNapoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.6% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals15.8% · 1.59.1% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.5% · 1.53
3.5 goals5.3% · 4.519.8% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X36.9%
X263.1%

Match result

Cagliari5
Draw3.5
Napoli1.75

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance36.9%
Odds2

X2

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

Cagliari

Chance18.9%
Odds5

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.5

Napoli

Chance54.1%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Napoli at 1.75

CagliariNapoli
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall26%74%

Cagliari vs Napoli: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Fri, 20 Mar 2026

Cagliari meet Napoli in the Italy, Serie A on 20 March 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Napoli at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cagliari vs Napoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cagliari vs Napoli?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 20 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cagliari vs Napoli?

Napoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.53.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Cagliari vs Napoli prediction, H2H and stats