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Cancún vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies ClubsSat, 4 Jul 2026

Cancún

LWDDW

Sat, 4 Jul 202602:00

1 : 0

Full time

Toluca

LLDDD

Pre-match win probability

13.8%Cancún18.9%Draw67.4%Toluca

Our prediction

Toluca

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.33
Confidence67.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cancún 13.8%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Toluca 67.4%

Season statistics

Friendlies Clubs · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CancúnToluca
Goals scored (avg)
2.22
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.21.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cancún4W 4D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctTepatitlán0 – 4CancúnW
  • 18 OctCancún1 – 1Venados FCD
  • 11 OctMineros de Zacatecas2 – 2CancúnD
  • 4 OctCancún1 – 0TapatíoW
  • 26 SeptTlaxcala4 – 1CancúnL
Toluca3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctLeon1 – 1TolucaD
  • 22 OctToluca2 – 2Club TijuanaD
  • 18 OctToluca1 – 1Atletico San LuisD
  • 10 OctTigres UANL3 – 2TolucaL
  • 4 OctMonterrey2 – 1TolucaL
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals62.5% · 1.537.5% · 2.5

Double chance

1X26.1%
X273.9%

Match result

Cancún6.5
Draw4.75
Toluca1.33

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance26.1%
Odds3

X2

Chance73.9%
Odds1.06

Cancún

Chance13.8%
Odds6.5

Draw

Chance18.9%
Odds4.75

Toluca

Chance67.4%
Odds1.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Toluca at 1.33

CancúnToluca
Recent form55%45%
Attack52%48%
Defence58%42%
Goals model52%48%
Overall17%83%

Trends

Trend · Friendlies Clubs

Cancún scored 2.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Friendlies Clubs

Cancún conceded 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Friendlies Clubs

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Friendlies Clubs

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of those 10.

Cancún vs Toluca: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies Clubs · Sat, 4 Jul 2026

Cancún meet Toluca in the World, Friendlies Clubs on 4 July 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 67.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cancún vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cancún vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 4 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cancún vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 67.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.