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Capitao Poco vs Castanhal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · ParaenseThu, 19 Feb 2026

Capitao Poco

2nd in table · 10 pts

DWWDW

Thu, 19 Feb 202614:00

0 : 1

Full time

Castanhal

7th in table · 8 pts

LDDLL

Pre-match win probability

39%Capitao Poco31.1%Draw29.9%Castanhal

Our prediction

Capitao Poco

Capitao Poco is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Capitao Poco 39%
  • Draw 31.1%
  • Castanhal 29.9%

Season statistics

Paraense · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Capitao PocoCastanhal
Goals scored (avg)
1.40.4
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.3
Wins
32
Played
66

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Capitao Poco5W 2D 2L in last 9
  • 7 MarCastanhal0 – 1Capitao PocoW
  • 28 FebCametá1 – 1Capitao PocoD
  • 22 FebCapitao Poco2 – 1Tuna LusoW
  • 15 FebCapitao Poco2 – 0CastanhalW
  • 12 FebCapitao Poco1 – 1Águia de MarabáD
Castanhal1W 3D 5L in last 9
  • 12 MarCastanhal0 – 4Nova IguaçuL
  • 7 MarCastanhal0 – 1Capitao PocoL
  • 28 FebCastanhal0 – 0Águia de MarabáD
  • 25 FebCastanhal1 – 1Guarani CampinasD
  • 22 FebPaysandu1 – 0CastanhalL
H2H
Head to headCapitao Poco 2W · 1D · Castanhal 1W · 1.8 goals a game
  • 7 MarCastanhal0 – 1Capitao Poco
  • 15 FebCapitao Poco2 – 0Castanhal
  • 2 AprCastanhal3 – 1Capitao Poco
  • 29 JanCapitao Poco0 – 0Castanhal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals43.7% · 2.1556.3% · 1.67

Double chance

1X52.4%
X247.6%

Match result

Capitao Poco2.3
Draw2.88
Castanhal3

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance52.4%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.6%
Odds1.5

Capitao Poco

Chance39%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance31.1%
Odds2.88

Castanhal

Chance29.9%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Capitao Poco at 2.3

Capitao PocoCastanhal
Recent form74%26%
Attack78%22%
Defence55%45%
Goals model78%22%
Head-to-head63%37%
Overall57%43%

Trends

Trend · Paraense

Capitao Poco scored 1.4 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Paraense

Capitao Poco conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Paraense

Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

Trend · Paraense

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

Capitao Poco vs Castanhal: prediction & preview

Brazil · Paraense · Thu, 19 Feb 2026

Capitao Poco meet Castanhal in the Brazil, Paraense on 19 February 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Capitao Poco at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Capitao Poco vs Castanhal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Capitao Poco vs Castanhal?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 19 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Capitao Poco vs Castanhal?

Capitao Poco is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.