Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Wales · Welsh CupSat, 13 Dec 2025

Cardiff MET

Sat, 13 Dec 202518:25

2 : 4

Full time

Caernarfon Town

Pre-match win probability

37.2%Cardiff MET25.5%Draw37.2%Caernarfon Town

Our prediction

Cardiff MET

Cardiff MET is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.4
Confidence37.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cardiff MET 37.2%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Caernarfon Town 37.2%

Season statistics

Welsh Cup · highlighted side is stronger

Cardiff METCaernarfon Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%1.6% · 19
1.5 goals26.8% · 1.146.1% · 5
2.5 goals20.4% · 1.512.2% · 2.5
3.5 goals13.9% · 2.218.9% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes64.5%
No35.5%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Cardiff MET2.4
Draw3.5
Caernarfon Town2.4

Both teams to score

Yes64.5% · 1.44
No35.5% · 2.62

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.5

Cardiff MET

Chance37.2%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.5

Caernarfon Town

Chance37.2%
Odds2.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Cardiff MET at 2.4

Cardiff METCaernarfon Town
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall50%50%

Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town: prediction & preview

Wales · Welsh Cup · Sat, 13 Dec 2025

Cardiff MET meet Caernarfon Town in the Wales, Welsh Cup on 13 December 2025 at 18:25 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cardiff MET at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.44.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?

Kickoff is 18:25 on 13 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town?

Cardiff MET is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.44. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town prediction, H2H and stats