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Casa Pia vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaMon, 6 Apr 2026

Casa Pia

LDDLW

Mon, 6 Apr 202620:45

1 : 1

Full time

Benfica

WWDWL

Pre-match win probability

7.2%Casa Pia15.7%Draw77.1%Benfica

Our prediction

Away · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds1.22
Confidence77.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 7.2%
  • Draw 15.7%
  • Benfica 77.1%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.7% · 1.144.3% · 5.5
2.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.6% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X19.4%
X280.6%

Match result

Casa Pia13
Draw6
Benfica1.22

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance19.4%
Odds4.33

X2

Chance80.6%
Odds1.04

Casa Pia

Chance7.2%
Odds13

Draw

Chance15.7%
Odds6

Benfica

Chance77.1%
Odds1.22

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.22

Casa PiaBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall9%91%

Casa Pia vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Mon, 6 Apr 2026

Casa Pia meet Benfica in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 6 April 2026 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 77.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Casa Pia vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Casa Pia vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 6 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Casa Pia vs Benfica?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 77.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.5 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats