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Casa Pia vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 1 Nov 2025

Casa Pia

LWLWW

Sat, 1 Nov 202519:00

3 : 5

Full time

Estrela

DLLWL

Pre-match win probability

45.5%Casa Pia29.2%Draw25.4%Estrela

Our prediction

Casa Pia

Casa Pia is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.13
Confidence45.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 45.5%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Estrela 25.4%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaEstrela
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Casa Pia3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
  • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
  • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoL
Estrela3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaL
  • 17 OctFazendense1 – 2EstrelaW
  • 11 OctArouca1 – 0EstrelaL
  • 20 SeptEstrela0 – 2Academico ViseuL
  • 14 SeptRio Ave3 – 3EstrelaD
H2H
Head to headCasa Pia 5W · 1D · Estrela 3W · 2.3 goals a game
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa Pia
  • 18 JulEstrela1 – 2Casa Pia
  • 20 MarEstrela4 – 0Casa Pia
  • 9 FebCasa Pia1 – 0Estrela
  • 31 AugEstrela0 – 1Casa Pia
  • 8 MarEstrela3 – 1Casa Pia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.1% · 1.043.4% · 6.75
1.5 goals16.4% · 1.49% · 2.57
2.5 goals9.6% · 2.414.1% · 1.63
3.5 goals5.5% · 4.1519.8% · 1.16

Both teams to score

Yes46.5%
No53.5%

Double chance

1X57.7%
X242.3%

Match result

Casa Pia2.13
Draw3.32
Estrela3.82

Both teams to score

Yes46.5% · 1.99
No53.5% · 1.73

1X

Chance57.7%
Odds1.29

X2

Chance42.3%
Odds1.76

Casa Pia

Chance45.5%
Odds2.13

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.32

Estrela

Chance25.4%
Odds3.82

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Casa Pia at 2.13

Casa PiaEstrela
Recent form43%57%
Attack27%73%
Defence52%48%
Goals model27%73%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall64%36%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Casa Pia vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 1 Nov 2025

Casa Pia meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 1 November 2025 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–5.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Casa Pia at 2.13. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 45.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.63, about 59.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Casa Pia vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Casa Pia vs Estrela?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 1 November 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Casa Pia vs Estrela?

Casa Pia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.13. The margin-adjusted share is about 45.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.4 and under 2.5 is 1.63.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.99. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Casa Pia vs Estrela prediction, H2H and stats