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Casa Pia vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 1 Mar 2026

Casa Pia

16th in table · 30 pts

LWLWW

Sun, 1 Mar 202619:00

1 : 1

Full time

Moreirense

7th in table · 43 pts

WDLLW

Pre-match win probability

37.1%Casa Pia30.9%Draw32%Moreirense

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Moreirense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence37.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 37.1%
  • Draw 30.9%
  • Moreirense 32%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaMoreirense
Goals scored (avg)
0.61.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.71.7
Wins
612
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Casa Pia3W 1D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctEstrela0 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 18 OctAlpendorada0 – 1Casa PiaW
  • 10 OctCasa Pia0 – 1Santa ClaraL
  • 20 SeptEstoril1 – 2Casa PiaW
  • 12 SeptCasa Pia1 – 4FC PortoL
Moreirense3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctEstoril1 – 3MoreirenseW
  • 17 OctAVS1 – 0MoreirenseL
  • 9 OctMoreirense0 – 1GIL VicenteL
  • 20 SeptVitória SC1 – 1MoreirenseD
  • 14 SeptMoreirense3 – 1MaritimoW
H2H
Head to headCasa Pia 3W · 0D · Moreirense 4W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 30 AugCasa Pia0 – 1Moreirense
  • 27 SeptMoreirense2 – 1Casa Pia
  • 15 FebMoreirense3 – 2Casa Pia
  • 14 SeptCasa Pia3 – 1Moreirense
  • 12 MayCasa Pia0 – 1Moreirense
  • 8 JanMoreirense1 – 4Casa Pia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.4% · 1.13.4% · 7
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.449% · 2.62
2.5 goals9.4% · 2.515.7% · 1.5
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.1% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Double chance

1X51.7%
X248.3%

Match result

Casa Pia2.5
Draw3
Moreirense2.9

Both teams to score

Yes45.3% · 2.05
No54.7% · 1.7

1X

Chance51.7%
Odds1.4

X2

Chance48.3%
Odds1.5

Casa Pia

Chance37.1%
Odds2.5

Draw

Chance30.9%
Odds3

Moreirense

Chance32%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.5

Casa PiaMoreirense
Recent form48%52%
Attack35%65%
Defence50%50%
Goals model35%65%
Head-to-head43%57%
Overall54%46%

Trends

Trend · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Casa Pia conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Failed to score in 6 of those 10.

Trend · Primeira Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Casa Pia vs Moreirense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

Casa Pia meet Moreirense in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 1 March 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Casa Pia at 2.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 37.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Casa Pia vs Moreirense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Casa Pia vs Moreirense?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Casa Pia vs Moreirense?

Casa Pia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 37.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.05. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.