Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Casa Pia

LLDLD

Sun, 3 May 202615:30

0 : 1

Full time

Tondela

DLLDL

Pre-match win probability

41%Casa Pia30.4%Draw28.6%Tondela

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Tondela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence41%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Casa Pia 41%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Tondela 28.6%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Casa PiaTondela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.8% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.5% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X54.9%
X245.1%

Match result

Casa Pia2.3
Draw3.1
Tondela3.3

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance54.9%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.1%
Odds1.62

Casa Pia

Chance41%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Tondela

Chance28.6%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

Casa PiaTondela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Casa Pia vs Tondela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 3 May 2026

Casa Pia meet Tondela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 3 May 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Casa Pia at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Casa Pia vs Tondela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Casa Pia vs Tondela?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 3 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Casa Pia vs Tondela?

Casa Pia is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Casa Pia vs Tondela prediction, H2H and stats