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Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 4 Oct 2026

Castellón

Sun, 4 Oct 202617:30

1 : 1

Full time

AD Ceuta FC

Pre-match win probability

74.2%Castellón16.4%Draw9.4%AD Ceuta FC

Our prediction

Castellón

Castellón is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.27
Confidence74.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Castellón 74.2%
  • Draw 16.4%
  • AD Ceuta FC 9.4%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

CastellónAD Ceuta FC

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.4% · 1.011% · 23
1.5 goals21.5% · 1.13.4% · 7
2.5 goals17.4% · 1.367.6% · 3.1
3.5 goals12.9% · 1.8312.9% · 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X78.1%
X221.9%

Match result

Castellón1.27
Draw5.75
AD Ceuta FC10

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance78.1%
Odds1.05

X2

Chance21.9%
Odds3.75

Castellón

Chance74.2%
Odds1.27

Draw

Chance16.4%
Odds5.75

AD Ceuta FC

Chance9.4%
Odds10

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Castellón at 1.27

CastellónAD Ceuta FC
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall89%11%

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 4 Oct 2026

Castellón meet AD Ceuta FC in the Spain, Segunda División on 4 October 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Castellón at 1.27. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC FAQs

4 questions

What time is Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 4 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC?

Castellón is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.27. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.36 and under 2.5 is 3.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC prediction, H2H and stats