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Castellón vs Burgos Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSat, 18 Apr 2026

Castellón

WDLWW

Sat, 18 Apr 202617:30

3 : 1

Full time

Burgos

WLLWW

Pre-match win probability

53.5%Castellón26.8%Draw19.7%Burgos

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Castellón

Castellón vs Burgos listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence53.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Castellón 53.5%
  • Draw 26.8%
  • Burgos 19.7%

Season statistics

Segunda División · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CastellónBurgos
Goals scored (avg)
2.11.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.41

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Castellón7W 2D 1L in last 10
  • 25 OctCastellón4 – 0Sporting GijonW
  • 17 OctLas Palmas0 – 3CastellónW
  • 11 OctFC Andorra1 – 0CastellónL
  • 4 OctCastellón1 – 1AD Ceuta FCD
  • 28 SeptLeganes0 – 2CastellónW
Burgos5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 26 OctFC Andorra2 – 3BurgosW
  • 18 OctBurgos1 – 0SabadellW
  • 12 OctBurgos0 – 1Granada CFL
  • 3 OctAlmeria2 – 1BurgosL
  • 27 SeptBurgos1 – 0EldenseW
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X62.9%
X237.1%

Match result

Castellón1.75
Draw3.5
Burgos4.75

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance62.9%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance37.1%
Odds2

Castellón

Chance53.5%
Odds1.75

Draw

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

Burgos

Chance19.7%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

CastellónBurgos
Recent form57%43%
Attack62%38%
Defence57%43%
Goals model62%38%
Overall73%27%

Trends

Trend · Segunda División

Castellón scored 2.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda División

Castellón conceded 0.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda División

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Segunda División

Kept a clean sheet in 6 of those 10.

Castellón vs Burgos: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Castellón meet Burgos in the Spain, Segunda División on 18 April 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Castellón at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Castellón vs Burgos FAQs

4 questions

What time is Castellón vs Burgos?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Castellón vs Burgos?

Castellón is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.