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Castro Daire vs Portimonense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalSat, 19 Sept 2026

Castro Daire

Sat, 19 Sept 202614:00

0 : 1

Full time

Portimonense

Pre-match win probability

15.5%Castro Daire19.8%Draw64.7%Portimonense

Our prediction

Portimonense

Portimonense is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.38
Confidence64.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Castro Daire 15.5%
  • Draw 19.8%
  • Portimonense 64.7%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

Castro DairePortimonense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.6% · 1.7311.3% · 2.08
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X28.9%
X271.1%

Match result

Castro Daire5.75
Draw4.5
Portimonense1.38

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance28.9%
Odds2.75

X2

Chance71.1%
Odds1.12

Castro Daire

Chance15.5%
Odds5.75

Draw

Chance19.8%
Odds4.5

Portimonense

Chance64.7%
Odds1.38

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Portimonense at 1.38

Castro DairePortimonense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall19%81%

Castro Daire vs Portimonense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

Castro Daire meet Portimonense in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Portimonense at 1.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Castro Daire vs Portimonense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Castro Daire vs Portimonense?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Castro Daire vs Portimonense?

Portimonense is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Castro Daire vs Portimonense prediction, H2H and stats