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Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1Sun, 18 Jan 2026

Caxias

WD

Sun, 18 Jan 202620:00

4 : 1

Full time

Guarany de Bagé

DD

Pre-match win probability

56.1%Caxias29%Draw15%Guarany de Bagé

Our prediction

Home · Caxias

Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé listed tip from the board.

Odds1.6
Confidence56.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caxias 56.1%
  • Draw 29%
  • Guarany de Bagé 15%

Season statistics

Gaúcho - 1 · highlighted side is stronger

CaxiasGuarany de Bagé

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.1% · 1.123.9% · 6
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals4.7% · 520.2% · 1.17

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X66.5%
X233.5%

Match result

Caxias1.6
Draw3.1
Guarany de Bagé6

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance66.5%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance33.5%
Odds2.2

Caxias

Chance56.1%
Odds1.6

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Guarany de Bagé

Chance15%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.6

CaxiasGuarany de Bagé
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall79%21%

Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé: prediction & preview

Brazil · Gaúcho - 1 · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

Caxias meet Guarany de Bagé in the Brazil, Gaúcho - 1 on 18 January 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caxias at 1.6. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé FAQs

4 questions

What time is Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?

Caxias is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.6. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé prediction, H2H and stats