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Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Copa Do BrasilThu, 26 Feb 2026

Caxias

Thu, 26 Feb 202600:00

0 : 1

Full time

Guarany de Bagé

Pre-match win probability

62.1%Caxias24.5%Draw13.3%Guarany de Bagé

Our prediction

Caxias

Caxias is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.5
Confidence62.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Caxias 62.1%
  • Draw 24.5%
  • Guarany de Bagé 13.3%

Season statistics

Copa Do Brasil · highlighted side is stronger

CaxiasGuarany de Bagé

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.083.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.5% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes39.1%
No60.9%

Double chance

1X69.4%
X230.6%

Match result

Caxias1.5
Draw3.8
Guarany de Bagé7

Both teams to score

Yes39.1% · 2.38
No60.9% · 1.53

1X

Chance69.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance30.6%
Odds2.5

Caxias

Chance62.1%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance24.5%
Odds3.8

Guarany de Bagé

Chance13.3%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Caxias at 1.5

CaxiasGuarany de Bagé
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall82%18%

Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé: prediction & preview

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · Thu, 26 Feb 2026

Caxias meet Guarany de Bagé in the Brazil, Copa Do Brasil on 26 February 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Caxias at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé FAQs

4 questions

What time is Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 26 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé?

Caxias is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.38. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Caxias vs Guarany de Bagé prediction, H2H and stats