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Celaya vs Chapulineros Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga Premier Serie ATue, 3 Mar 2026

Celaya

WDLLW

Tue, 3 Mar 202603:05

1 : 0

Full time

Chapulineros

DLWWW

Pre-match win probability

64.2%Celaya20.8%Draw15%Chapulineros

Our prediction

Celaya

Celaya is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.4
Confidence64.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Celaya 64.2%
  • Draw 20.8%
  • Chapulineros 15%

Season statistics

Liga Premier Serie A · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CelayaChapulineros
Goals scored (avg)
1.61.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.5

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Celaya5W 2D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctCelaya2 – 1CordobésW
  • 10 OctRacing de Veracruz2 – 1CelayaL
  • 6 OctCelaya0 – 1Jaguares de ChiapasL
  • 27 SeptDeportiva Venados2 – 2CelayaD
  • 20 SeptCelaya2 – 1MontañesesW
Chapulineros3W 4D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctChapulineros2 – 1Tritons VallartaW
  • 17 OctChapulineros2 – 1MontañesesW
  • 4 OctTapachula2 – 3ChapulinerosW
  • 26 SeptChapulineros1 – 3Pioneros de CancúnL
  • 20 SeptInter Playa del Carmen0 – 0ChapulinerosD
H2H
Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals59.9% · 1.5740.1% · 2.35

Double chance

1X70.3%
X229.7%

Match result

Celaya1.4
Draw4.33
Chapulineros6

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance70.3%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance29.7%
Odds2.6

Celaya

Chance64.2%
Odds1.4

Draw

Chance20.8%
Odds4.33

Chapulineros

Chance15%
Odds6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Celaya at 1.4

CelayaChapulineros
Recent form57%43%
Attack59%41%
Defence56%44%
Goals model59%41%
Overall81%19%

Trends

Trend · Liga Premier Serie A

Celaya scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Premier Serie A

Celaya conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga Premier Serie A

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · Liga Premier Serie A

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Celaya vs Chapulineros: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga Premier Serie A · Tue, 3 Mar 2026

Celaya meet Chapulineros in the Mexico, Liga Premier Serie A on 3 March 2026 at 03:05 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Celaya at 1.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 64.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Celaya vs Chapulineros FAQs

4 questions

What time is Celaya vs Chapulineros?

Kickoff is 03:05 on 3 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Celaya vs Chapulineros?

Celaya is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 64.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.