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Celta de Vigo II vs Mérida AD Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Celta de Vigo II

Sat, 28 Feb 202616:00

1 : 1

Full time

Mérida AD

Pre-match win probability

46.9%Celta de Vigo II28.9%Draw24.2%Mérida AD

Our prediction

Celta de Vigo II

Celta de Vigo II is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.91
Confidence46.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Celta de Vigo II 46.9%
  • Draw 28.9%
  • Mérida AD 24.2%

Season statistics

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · highlighted side is stronger

Celta de Vigo IIMérida AD

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals18% · 1.36.9% · 3.4
2.5 goals11.4% · 2.0513.4% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.7% · 3.518.3% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X58.2%
X241.8%

Match result

Celta de Vigo II1.91
Draw3.1
Mérida AD3.7

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance58.2%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance41.8%
Odds1.7

Celta de Vigo II

Chance46.9%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance28.9%
Odds3.1

Mérida AD

Chance24.2%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Celta de Vigo II at 1.91

Celta de Vigo IIMérida AD
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall66%34%

Celta de Vigo II vs Mérida AD: prediction & preview

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Celta de Vigo II meet Mérida AD in the Spain, Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Celta de Vigo II at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Celta de Vigo II vs Mérida AD FAQs

4 questions

What time is Celta de Vigo II vs Mérida AD?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Celta de Vigo II vs Mérida AD?

Celta de Vigo II is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Celta de Vigo II vs Mérida AD prediction, H2H and stats