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Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 18 Jan 2026

Celta Vigo

6th in table · 54 pts

WWDDW

Sun, 18 Jan 202618:30

3 : 0

Full time

Rayo Vallecano

8th in table · 50 pts

WDDLW

Pre-match win probability

50.5%Celta Vigo28.2%Draw21.3%Rayo Vallecano

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence50.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Celta Vigo 50.5%
  • Draw 28.2%
  • Rayo Vallecano 21.3%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Celta VigoRayo Vallecano
Goals scored (avg)
–1.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–2.2
Wins
1412
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Celta Vigo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Rayo Vallecano3W 3D 3L in last 9
    • 27 OctRecreativo Huelva2 – 3Rayo VallecanoW
    • 24 OctRayo Vallecano0 – 3ElcheL
    • 19 OctGetafe1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
    • 19 SeptOsasuna1 – 1Rayo VallecanoD
    • 15 SeptRayo Vallecano2 – 1EspanyolW
    H2H
    Head to headCelta Vigo 2W · 5D · Rayo Vallecano 2W · 1.4 goals a game
    • 21 SeptRayo Vallecano1 – 1Celta Vigo
    • 18 MayCelta Vigo1 – 2Rayo Vallecano
    • 10 JanRayo Vallecano2 – 1Celta Vigo
    • 31 MarCelta Vigo0 – 0Rayo Vallecano
    • 11 DecRayo Vallecano0 – 0Celta Vigo
    • 11 MarCelta Vigo3 – 0Rayo Vallecano

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.3% · 1.072.6% · 9
    1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
    2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67
    3.5 goals6% · 419.1% · 1.25

    Both teams to score

    Yes48%
    No52%

    Double chance

    1X61.8%
    X238.2%

    Match result

    Celta Vigo1.9
    Draw3.4
    Rayo Vallecano4.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes48% · 1.95
    No52% · 1.8

    1X

    Chance61.8%
    Odds1.18

    X2

    Chance38.2%
    Odds1.91

    Celta Vigo

    Chance50.5%
    Odds1.9

    Draw

    Chance28.2%
    Odds3.4

    Rayo Vallecano

    Chance21.3%
    Odds4.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

    Celta VigoRayo Vallecano
    Recent form8%92%
    Attack38%62%
    Defence56%44%
    Goals model38%62%
    Head-to-head50%50%
    Overall70%30%

    Trends

    Trend · La Liga

    Rayo Vallecano scored 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Rayo Vallecano conceded 2.2 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Failed to score in 1 of those 9.

    Trend · La Liga

    Over 2.5 goals in 6 of those 9.

    Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: prediction & preview

    Spain · La Liga · Sun, 18 Jan 2026

    Celta Vigo meet Rayo Vallecano in the Spain, La Liga on 18 January 2026 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Celta Vigo at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?

    Kickoff is 18:30 on 18 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano?

    Celta Vigo is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.