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Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaFri, 6 Mar 2026

Celta Vigo

WWWWD

Fri, 6 Mar 202621:00

1 : 2

Full time

Real Madrid

LWLWW

Pre-match win probability

29.5%Celta Vigo28.6%Draw41.9%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Home · Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence41.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Celta Vigo 29.5%
  • Draw 28.6%
  • Real Madrid 41.9%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Celta VigoReal Madrid

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Celta Vigo0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Real Madrid0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headCelta Vigo 1W · 0D · Real Madrid 8W · 3.6 goals a game
      • 7 DecReal Madrid0 – 2Celta Vigo
      • 4 MayReal Madrid3 – 2Celta Vigo
      • 16 JanReal Madrid5 – 2Celta Vigo
      • 19 OctCelta Vigo1 – 2Real Madrid
      • 10 MarReal Madrid4 – 0Celta Vigo
      • 25 AugCelta Vigo0 – 1Real Madrid

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
      1.5 goals17.9% · 1.337% · 3.4
      2.5 goals11.9% · 213.2% · 1.8
      3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.3% · 1.3

      Both teams to score

      Yes52%
      No48%

      Double chance

      1X45.6%
      X254.4%

      Match result

      Celta Vigo3.2
      Draw3.3
      Real Madrid2.25

      Both teams to score

      Yes52% · 1.8
      No48% · 1.95

      1X

      Chance45.6%
      Odds1.62

      X2

      Chance54.4%
      Odds1.36

      Celta Vigo

      Chance29.5%
      Odds3.2

      Draw

      Chance28.6%
      Odds3.3

      Real Madrid

      Chance41.9%
      Odds2.25

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Home at 3.2

      Celta VigoReal Madrid
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Head-to-head11%89%
      Overall41%59%

      Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

      Spain · La Liga · Fri, 6 Mar 2026

      Celta Vigo meet Real Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 6 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid?

      Kickoff is 21:00 on 6 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid?

      Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.9%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.8.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

      Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and stats