Cerrito vs La Luz Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Cerrito

8th in table · 9 pts

WDWLD

Sun, 27 Sept 202620:00

1 : 2

Full time

La Luz

9th in table · 7 pts

LWLDL

Pre-match win probability

40.9%Cerrito30%Draw29%La Luz

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Cerrito

Cerrito vs La Luz listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence40.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerrito 40.9%
  • Draw 30%
  • La Luz 29%

Season statistics

Segunda División · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CerritoLa Luz
Goals scored (avg)
1.7–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1–
Wins
21
Played
66

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cerrito4W 4D 1L in last 9
  • 25 OctCerrito2 – 2RentistasD
  • 18 OctMiramar1 – 0CerritoL
  • 10 OctCerrito2 – 1TacuaremboW
  • 7 OctCerrito2 – 2WanderersD
  • 4 OctPlaza Colonia1 – 3CerritoW
La Luz0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headCerrito 1W · 3D · La Luz 2W · 2.2 goals a game
    • 21 JunLa Luz2 – 0Cerrito
    • 19 AprCerrito0 – 0La Luz
    • 16 AugCerrito1 – 0La Luz
    • 24 MayLa Luz2 – 2Cerrito
    • 14 SeptCerrito0 – 0La Luz
    • 31 MayLa Luz6 – 0Cerrito

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals41% · 2.359% · 1.6

    Double chance

    1X54.8%
    X245.2%

    Match result

    Cerrito2.2
    Draw3
    La Luz3.1

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance54.8%
    Odds1.28

    X2

    Chance45.2%
    Odds1.55

    Cerrito

    Chance40.9%
    Odds2.2

    Draw

    Chance30%
    Odds3

    La Luz

    Chance29%
    Odds3.1

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

    CerritoLa Luz
    Recent form94%6%
    Attack63%37%
    Defence67%33%
    Goals model63%37%
    Head-to-head42%58%
    Overall59%41%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda División

    Cerrito scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Cerrito conceded 1 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Failed to score in 2 of those 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Cerrito vs La Luz: prediction & preview

    Uruguay · Segunda División · Sun, 27 Sept 2026

    Cerrito meet La Luz in the Uruguay, Segunda División on 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Cerrito at 2.2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Cerrito vs La Luz FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Cerrito vs La Luz?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 27 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Cerrito vs La Luz?

    Cerrito is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.2. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.9%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.