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Cerro Largo vs Penarol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera DivisiónTue, 12 May 2026

Cerro Largo

WLLDD

Tue, 12 May 202600:30

2 : 3

Full time

Penarol

DDLLD

Pre-match win probability

21.3%Cerro Largo27.1%Draw51.6%Penarol

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo vs Penarol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence51.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerro Largo 21.3%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Penarol 51.6%

Season statistics

Primera División · highlighted side is stronger

Cerro LargoPenarol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.8% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X38.6%
X261.4%

Match result

Cerro Largo4.2
Draw3.3
Penarol1.73

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance38.6%
Odds1.91

X2

Chance61.4%
Odds1.2

Cerro Largo

Chance21.3%
Odds4.2

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.3

Penarol

Chance51.6%
Odds1.73

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.2

Cerro LargoPenarol
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall29%71%

Cerro Largo vs Penarol: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División · Tue, 12 May 2026

Cerro Largo meet Penarol in the Uruguay, Primera División on 12 May 2026 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Penarol at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cerro Largo vs Penarol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cerro Largo vs Penarol?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 12 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cerro Largo vs Penarol?

Penarol is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Cerro Largo vs Penarol prediction, H2H and stats