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Cerro vs Defensor Sporting Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Uruguay · Primera División - ClausuraSun, 12 Oct 2025

Cerro

7th in table · 24 pts

DLWDL

Sun, 12 Oct 202500:30

1 : 0

Full time

Defensor Sporting

8th in table · 23 pts

LLLLD

Pre-match win probability

27.2%Cerro30.7%Draw42.1%Defensor Sporting

Our prediction

Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.22
Confidence42.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Cerro 27.2%
  • Draw 30.7%
  • Defensor Sporting 42.1%

Season statistics

Primera División - Clausura · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

CerroDefensor Sporting
Goals scored (avg)
1.11.3
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.51.6
Wins
77
Played
1515

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Cerro3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctAtletico Torque3 – 1CerroL
  • 16 OctCerro1 – 1Cerro LargoD
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroW
  • 4 OctCerro0 – 2WanderersL
  • 27 SeptJuventud0 – 0CerroD
Defensor Sporting2W 3D 5L in last 10
  • 24 OctDefensor Sporting3 – 3Racing MontevideoD
  • 17 OctBoston River1 – 0Defensor SportingL
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3CerroL
  • 3 OctAlbion FC3 – 2Defensor SportingL
  • 30 SeptDefensor Sporting0 – 1Plaza ColoniaL
H2H
Head to headCerro 2W · 3D · Defensor Sporting 4W · 3.1 goals a game
  • 10 OctDefensor Sporting2 – 3Cerro
  • 3 AugDefensor Sporting2 – 1Cerro
  • 5 AprCerro1 – 0Defensor Sporting
  • 23 JunDefensor Sporting2 – 1Cerro
  • 14 AprDefensor Sporting3 – 2Cerro
  • 7 SeptCerro1 – 1Defensor Sporting

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.063.6% · 6.35
1.5 goals15.2% · 1.519.3% · 2.46
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.5115.6% · 1.47
3.5 goals4.7% · 4.8520.7% · 1.11

Both teams to score

Yes43.9%
No56.1%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Cerro3.44
Draw3.05
Defensor Sporting2.22

Both teams to score

Yes43.9% · 2.1
No56.1% · 1.64

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.6

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.27

Cerro

Chance27.2%
Odds3.44

Draw

Chance30.7%
Odds3.05

Defensor Sporting

Chance42.1%
Odds2.22

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Defensor Sporting at 2.22

CerroDefensor Sporting
Recent form55%45%
Attack46%54%
Defence52%48%
Goals model46%54%
Head-to-head39%61%
Overall39%61%

Trends

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Cerro scored 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Cerro conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Primera División - Clausura

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Cerro vs Defensor Sporting: prediction & preview

Uruguay · Primera División - Clausura · Sun, 12 Oct 2025

Cerro meet Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay, Primera División - Clausura on 12 October 2025 at 00:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Defensor Sporting at 2.22. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.47, about 63.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.64.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Cerro vs Defensor Sporting FAQs

4 questions

What time is Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?

Kickoff is 00:30 on 12 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Cerro vs Defensor Sporting?

Defensor Sporting is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.22. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.51 and under 2.5 is 1.47.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.