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CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalSun, 18 Oct 2026

CF Os Belenenses

Sun, 18 Oct 202619:45

3 : 4

Full time

Arouca

Pre-match win probability

18.1%CF Os Belenenses24.4%Draw57.5%Arouca

Our prediction

Arouca

Arouca is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.57
Confidence57.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • CF Os Belenenses 18.1%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Arouca 57.5%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

CF Os BelenensesArouca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X34.1%
X265.9%

Match result

CF Os Belenenses5
Draw3.7
Arouca1.57

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance34.1%
Odds2.2

X2

Chance65.9%
Odds1.14

CF Os Belenenses

Chance18.1%
Odds5

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.7

Arouca

Chance57.5%
Odds1.57

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Arouca at 1.57

CF Os BelenensesArouca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall24%76%

CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Sun, 18 Oct 2026

CF Os Belenenses meet Arouca in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 18 October 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arouca at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 57.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca?

Kickoff is 19:45 on 18 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca?

Arouca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 57.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca prediction, H2H and stats