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CF Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 11 May 2026

CF Pachuca

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Mon, 11 May 202600:00

2 : 0

Full time

Toluca

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Pre-match win probability

29.6%CF Pachuca26.3%Draw44.1%Toluca

Our prediction

Home · CF Pachuca

CF Pachuca vs Toluca listed tip from the board.

Odds3.2
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • CF Pachuca 29.6%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Toluca 44.1%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

CF PachucaToluca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.7% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes60.9%
No39.1%

Double chance

1X44.9%
X255.1%

Match result

CF Pachuca3.2
Draw3.6
Toluca2.15

Both teams to score

Yes60.9% · 1.53
No39.1% · 2.38

1X

Chance44.9%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.1%
Odds1.36

CF Pachuca

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Toluca

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 3.2

CF PachucaToluca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall40%60%

CF Pachuca vs Toluca: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 11 May 2026

CF Pachuca meet Toluca in the Mexico, Liga MX on 11 May 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Toluca at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.53.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

CF Pachuca vs Toluca FAQs

4 questions

What time is CF Pachuca vs Toluca?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 11 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on CF Pachuca vs Toluca?

Toluca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.53. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

CF Pachuca vs Toluca prediction, H2H and stats