Charlton vs Derby Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · ChampionshipSat, 15 Aug 2026

Charlton

WLWLW

Sat, 15 Aug 202615:00

2 : 1

Full time

Derby

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

33.6%Charlton30.4%Draw36%Derby

Our prediction

Home · Charlton

Charlton vs Derby listed tip from the board.

Odds2.8
Confidence36%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Charlton 33.6%
  • Draw 30.4%
  • Derby 36%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

CharltonDerby

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.2% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X49.3%
X250.7%

Match result

Charlton2.8
Draw3.1
Derby2.62

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance49.3%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50.7%
Odds1.4

Charlton

Chance33.6%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance30.4%
Odds3.1

Derby

Chance36%
Odds2.62

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.8

CharltonDerby
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall48%52%

Charlton vs Derby: prediction & preview

England · Championship · Sat, 15 Aug 2026

Charlton meet Derby in the England, Championship on 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Derby at 2.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Charlton vs Derby FAQs

4 questions

What time is Charlton vs Derby?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 15 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Charlton vs Derby?

Derby is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 36%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Charlton vs Derby prediction, H2H and stats