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Chaves vs Benfica Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalFri, 17 Oct 2025

Chaves

Fri, 17 Oct 202519:30

0 : 2

Full time

Benfica

Pre-match win probability

9.9%Chaves17.4%Draw72.7%Benfica

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Chaves

Chaves vs Benfica listed tip from the board.

Odds1.03
Confidence72.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chaves 9.9%
  • Draw 17.4%
  • Benfica 72.7%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

ChavesBenfica

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.4% · 1.031.8% · 12.9
1.5 goals20.1% · 1.155.4% · 4.25
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6210.3% · 2.24
3.5 goals9.6% · 2.4216.1% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes44.9%
No55.1%

Double chance

1X23%
X277%

Match result

Chaves9.45
Draw5.35
Benfica1.28

Both teams to score

Yes44.9% · 2.06
No55.1% · 1.68

1X

Chance23%
Odds3.44

X2

Chance77%
Odds1.03

Chaves

Chance9.9%
Odds9.45

Draw

Chance17.4%
Odds5.35

Benfica

Chance72.7%
Odds1.28

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.03

ChavesBenfica
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall12%88%

Chaves vs Benfica: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Fri, 17 Oct 2025

Chaves meet Benfica in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 17 October 2025 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Benfica at 1.28. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 72.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.68.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chaves vs Benfica FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chaves vs Benfica?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 17 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chaves vs Benfica?

Benfica is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.28. The margin-adjusted share is about 72.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.24.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.06. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chaves vs Benfica prediction, H2H and stats