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Chaves vs Farense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 22 Feb 2026

Chaves

LLLDL

Sun, 22 Feb 202615:00

2 : 0

Full time

Farense

LWLLD

Pre-match win probability

39.5%Chaves30.3%Draw30.3%Farense

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Chaves

Chaves vs Farense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chaves 39.5%
  • Draw 30.3%
  • Farense 30.3%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

ChavesFarense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.2% · 2.314.7% · 1.6
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X53.5%
X246.5%

Match result

Chaves2.3
Draw3
Farense3

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance53.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance46.5%
Odds1.53

Chaves

Chance39.5%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance30.3%
Odds3

Farense

Chance30.3%
Odds3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

ChavesFarense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall57%43%

Chaves vs Farense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 22 Feb 2026

Chaves meet Farense in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chaves at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chaves vs Farense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chaves vs Farense?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chaves vs Farense?

Chaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.3 and under 2.5 is 1.6.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chaves vs Farense prediction, H2H and stats