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Chaves vs Lusitânia Lourosa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSat, 24 Jan 2026

Chaves

9th in table · 45 pts

LLDWW

Sat, 24 Jan 202612:00

2 : 2

Full time

Lusitânia Lourosa

12th in table · 43 pts

WWDWD

Pre-match win probability

49.1%Chaves29.3%Draw21.6%Lusitânia Lourosa

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Chaves

Chaves vs Lusitânia Lourosa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.2
Confidence49.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chaves 49.1%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Lusitânia Lourosa 21.6%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ChavesLusitânia Lourosa
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.50.9
Wins
1311
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Chaves4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 23 OctChaves2 – 1VizelaW
  • 16 OctChaves2 – 1Os MarialvasW
  • 11 OctLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1ChavesD
  • 4 OctFarense4 – 0ChavesL
  • 25 SeptChaves0 – 1Vitória SCL
Lusitânia Lourosa7W 3D 0L in last 10
  • 25 OctFelgueiras 19322 – 2Lusitânia LourosaD
  • 18 OctLusitânia Lourosa2 – 1Os LimianosW
  • 11 OctLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1ChavesD
  • 20 SeptMadalena1 – 3Lusitânia LourosaW
  • 14 SeptSporting CP B1 – 2Lusitânia LourosaW
H2H
Head to headChaves 1W · 2D · Lusitânia Lourosa 0W · 2.7 goals a game
  • 11 OctLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1Chaves
  • 16 AugLusitânia Lourosa2 – 2Chaves
  • 20 OctChaves2 – 0Lusitânia Lourosa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X60.4%
X239.6%

Match result

Chaves1.91
Draw3.2
Lusitânia Lourosa4.33

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance60.4%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance39.6%
Odds1.83

Chaves

Chance49.1%
Odds1.91

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.2

Lusitânia Lourosa

Chance21.6%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.2

ChavesLusitânia Lourosa
Recent form37%63%
Attack39%61%
Defence42%58%
Goals model39%61%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall69%31%

Trends

Trend · Segunda Liga

Chaves scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Chaves conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Chaves vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sat, 24 Jan 2026

Chaves meet Lusitânia Lourosa in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 24 January 2026 at 12:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chaves at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chaves vs Lusitânia Lourosa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chaves vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Kickoff is 12:00 on 24 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chaves vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Chaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.