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Chaves vs Maritimo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaSun, 11 Jan 2026

Chaves

9th in table · 45 pts

LLDWW

Sun, 11 Jan 202615:00

2 : 3

Full time

Maritimo

1st in table · 66 pts

DLWLL

Pre-match win probability

35.1%Chaves29.8%Draw35.1%Maritimo

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Chaves

Chaves vs Maritimo listed tip from the board.

Odds1.44
Confidence35.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chaves 35.1%
  • Draw 29.8%
  • Maritimo 35.1%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ChavesMaritimo
Goals scored (avg)
1.21.1
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.52.2
Wins
1320
Played
3434

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Chaves4W 2D 4L in last 10
  • 23 OctChaves2 – 1VizelaW
  • 16 OctChaves2 – 1Os MarialvasW
  • 11 OctLusitânia Lourosa1 – 1ChavesD
  • 4 OctFarense4 – 0ChavesL
  • 25 SeptChaves0 – 1Vitória SCL
Maritimo2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 27 OctSporting CP2 – 1MaritimoL
  • 23 OctVitória SC5 – 0MaritimoL
  • 18 OctAlcochetense1 – 2MaritimoW
  • 10 OctMaritimo1 – 2FC PortoL
  • 19 SeptGIL Vicente1 – 1MaritimoD
H2H
Head to headChaves 6W · 2D · Maritimo 1W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 15 MayMaritimo1 – 3Chaves
  • 2 FebChaves1 – 1Maritimo
  • 25 AugMaritimo1 – 1Chaves
  • 5 FebChaves2 – 1Maritimo
  • 15 AugMaritimo1 – 2Chaves
  • 2 FebChaves1 – 0Maritimo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.7% · 1.082.9% · 8
1.5 goals16.8% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.9% · 2.1514% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X50%
X250%

Match result

Chaves2.55
Draw3
Maritimo2.55

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.83
No50% · 1.83

1X

Chance50%
Odds1.44

X2

Chance50%
Odds1.44

Chaves

Chance35.1%
Odds2.55

Draw

Chance29.8%
Odds3

Maritimo

Chance35.1%
Odds2.55

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.44

ChavesMaritimo
Recent form64%36%
Attack52%48%
Defence65%35%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head78%22%
Overall50%50%

Trends

Trend · Segunda Liga

Chaves scored 1.2 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Chaves conceded 1.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Segunda Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 1 of those 10.

Chaves vs Maritimo: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Sun, 11 Jan 2026

Chaves meet Maritimo in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 11 January 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chaves at 2.55. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 35.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chaves vs Maritimo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chaves vs Maritimo?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 11 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chaves vs Maritimo?

Chaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.55. The margin-adjusted share is about 35.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.83. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.