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Chaves vs Os Marialvas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Taça de PortugalFri, 16 Oct 2026

Chaves

Fri, 16 Oct 202620:00

2 : 1

Full time

Os Marialvas

Pre-match win probability

68.4%Chaves20.5%Draw11.1%Os Marialvas

Our prediction

Chaves

Chaves is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.3
Confidence68.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chaves 68.4%
  • Draw 20.5%
  • Os Marialvas 11.1%

Season statistics

Taça de Portugal · highlighted side is stronger

ChavesOs Marialvas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals17.8% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.5% · 2.0513.5% · 1.75
3.5 goals6.8% · 3.518.5% · 1.28

Both teams to score

Yes37.5%
No62.5%

Double chance

1X76.6%
X223.4%

Match result

Chaves1.3
Draw4.33
Os Marialvas8

Both teams to score

Yes37.5% · 2.5
No62.5% · 1.5

1X

Chance76.6%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance23.4%
Odds3.5

Chaves

Chance68.4%
Odds1.3

Draw

Chance20.5%
Odds4.33

Os Marialvas

Chance11.1%
Odds8

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Chaves at 1.3

ChavesOs Marialvas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall86%14%

Chaves vs Os Marialvas: prediction & preview

Portugal · Taça de Portugal · Fri, 16 Oct 2026

Chaves meet Os Marialvas in the Portugal, Taça de Portugal on 16 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chaves at 1.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 68.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chaves vs Os Marialvas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chaves vs Os Marialvas?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chaves vs Os Marialvas?

Chaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 68.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.05 and under 2.5 is 1.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chaves vs Os Marialvas prediction, H2H and stats