Get Premium

Chaves vs Penafiel Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaFri, 6 Feb 2026

Chaves

LDLLL

Fri, 6 Feb 202621:15

0 : 1

Full time

Penafiel

DLLLW

Pre-match win probability

53.9%Chaves28.1%Draw18%Penafiel

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Chaves

Chaves vs Penafiel listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence53.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chaves 53.9%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Penafiel 18%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

ChavesPenafiel

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes46.4%
No53.6%

Double chance

1X63.7%
X236.3%

Match result

Chaves1.67
Draw3.2
Penafiel5

Both teams to score

Yes46.4% · 2
No53.6% · 1.73

1X

Chance63.7%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance36.3%
Odds2

Chaves

Chance53.9%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.2

Penafiel

Chance18%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 2

ChavesPenafiel
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Chaves vs Penafiel: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Fri, 6 Feb 2026

Chaves meet Penafiel in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 6 February 2026 at 21:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chaves at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chaves vs Penafiel FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chaves vs Penafiel?

Kickoff is 21:15 on 6 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chaves vs Penafiel?

Chaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.