Get Premium

Chaves vs União de Leiria Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Segunda LigaFri, 20 Mar 2026

Chaves

WWLWL

Fri, 20 Mar 202619:00

0 : 2

Full time

União de Leiria

LWWWD

Pre-match win probability

40%Chaves29%Draw31%União de Leiria

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Chaves

Chaves vs União de Leiria listed tip from the board.

Odds1.53
Confidence40%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chaves 40%
  • Draw 29%
  • União de Leiria 31%

Season statistics

Segunda Liga · highlighted side is stronger

ChavesUnião de Leiria

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals11% · 2.1514.1% · 1.67
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.8% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48.5%
No51.5%

Double chance

1X52.9%
X247.1%

Match result

Chaves2.25
Draw3.1
União de Leiria2.9

Both teams to score

Yes48.5% · 1.91
No51.5% · 1.8

1X

Chance52.9%
Odds1.36

X2

Chance47.1%
Odds1.53

Chaves

Chance40%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

União de Leiria

Chance31%
Odds2.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.53

ChavesUnião de Leiria
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall56%44%

Chaves vs União de Leiria: prediction & preview

Portugal · Segunda Liga · Fri, 20 Mar 2026

Chaves meet União de Leiria in the Portugal, Segunda Liga on 20 March 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chaves at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chaves vs União de Leiria FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chaves vs União de Leiria?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 20 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chaves vs União de Leiria?

Chaves is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 40%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.15 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chaves vs União de Leiria prediction, H2H and stats