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Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League CupWed, 14 Jan 2026

Chelsea

Wed, 14 Jan 202621:00

2 : 3

Full time

Arsenal

Pre-match win probability

26.2%Chelsea27.8%Draw46%Arsenal

Our prediction

Arsenal

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence46%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 26.2%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Arsenal 46%

Season statistics

League Cup · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaArsenal

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Chelsea3.6
Draw3.4
Arsenal2.05

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

Chelsea

Chance26.2%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.4

Arsenal

Chance46%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Arsenal at 2.05

ChelseaArsenal
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Chelsea vs Arsenal: prediction & preview

England · League Cup · Wed, 14 Jan 2026

Chelsea meet Arsenal in the England, League Cup on 14 January 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Arsenal FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Arsenal?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 14 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction, H2H and stats