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Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 27 Dec 2025

Chelsea

DWWLD

Sat, 27 Dec 202518:30

1 : 2

Full time

Aston Villa

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

53.3%Chelsea24.6%Draw22.1%Aston Villa

Our prediction

1-3 · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Aston Villa listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence53.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 53.3%
  • Draw 24.6%
  • Aston Villa 22.1%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaAston Villa

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X61.9%
X238.1%

Match result

Chelsea1.8
Draw3.9
Aston Villa4.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance61.9%
Odds1.2

X2

Chance38.1%
Odds1.95

Chelsea

Chance53.3%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance24.6%
Odds3.9

Aston Villa

Chance22.1%
Odds4.33

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1-3 at 1.8

ChelseaAston Villa
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall71%29%

Chelsea vs Aston Villa: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 27 Dec 2025

Chelsea meet Aston Villa in the England, Premier League on 27 December 2025 at 18:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Aston Villa?

Kickoff is 18:30 on 27 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Aston Villa?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction, H2H and stats