Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Chelsea

Sat, 10 Oct 202615:00

5 : 1

Full time

Bournemouth

Pre-match win probability

52.9%Chelsea24.4%Draw22.7%Bournemouth

Our prediction

Chelsea

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence52.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 52.9%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Bournemouth 22.7%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaBournemouth

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X61.5%
X238.5%

Match result

Chelsea1.8
Draw3.9
Bournemouth4.2

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance61.5%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance38.5%
Odds1.95

Chelsea

Chance52.9%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

Bournemouth

Chance22.7%
Odds4.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Chelsea at 1.8

ChelseaBournemouth
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Chelsea vs Bournemouth: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 10 Oct 2026

Chelsea meet Bournemouth in the England, Premier League on 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 10 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction, H2H and stats