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Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 30 Aug 2026

Chelsea

WWWDW

Sun, 30 Aug 202614:00

4 : 3

Full time

Brighton

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

51.3%Chelsea25%Draw23.7%Brighton

Our prediction

Draw · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Brighton listed tip from the board.

Odds3.8
Confidence51.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 51.3%
  • Draw 25%
  • Brighton 23.7%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaBrighton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X59.4%
X240.6%

Match result

Chelsea1.85
Draw3.8
Brighton4

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

Chelsea

Chance51.3%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Brighton

Chance23.7%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.8

ChelseaBrighton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall68%32%

Chelsea vs Brighton: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 30 Aug 2026

Chelsea meet Brighton in the England, Premier League on 30 August 2026 at 14:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Brighton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Brighton?

Kickoff is 14:00 on 30 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Brighton?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Brighton prediction, H2H and stats