Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSun, 26 Apr 2026

Chelsea

LLLWL

Sun, 26 Apr 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Leeds

DWWDD

Pre-match win probability

48.7%Chelsea25%Draw26.4%Leeds

Our prediction

0-1 · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Leeds listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence48.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 48.7%
  • Draw 25%
  • Leeds 26.4%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaLeeds

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.4% · 1.9112.4% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X58.4%
X241.6%

Match result

Chelsea1.95
Draw3.8
Leeds3.6

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

Chelsea

Chance48.7%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.8

Leeds

Chance26.4%
Odds3.6

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 0-1 at 1.95

ChelseaLeeds
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Chelsea vs Leeds: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sun, 26 Apr 2026

Chelsea meet Leeds in the England, FA Cup on 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Leeds FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Leeds?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 26 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Leeds?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Leeds prediction, H2H and stats