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Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · FA CupSat, 16 May 2026

Chelsea

DLWLL

Sat, 16 May 202615:00

0 : 1

Full time

Manchester City

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

21.2%Chelsea24.4%Draw54.4%Manchester City

Our prediction

Away · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds1.75
Confidence54.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 21.2%
  • Draw 24.4%
  • Manchester City 54.4%

Season statistics

FA Cup · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaManchester City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.7% · 1.25.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6710.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.4% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X36.5%
X263.5%

Match result

Chelsea4.5
Draw3.9
Manchester City1.75

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance36.5%
Odds2.05

X2

Chance63.5%
Odds1.18

Chelsea

Chance21.2%
Odds4.5

Draw

Chance24.4%
Odds3.9

Manchester City

Chance54.4%
Odds1.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 1.75

ChelseaManchester City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall28%72%

Chelsea vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · FA Cup · Sat, 16 May 2026

Chelsea meet Manchester City in the England, FA Cup on 16 May 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Manchester City at 1.75. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Manchester City?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 16 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.75. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Chelsea vs Manchester City prediction, H2H and stats