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Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 18 Apr 2026

Chelsea

10th in table · 52 pts

DLWWL

Sat, 18 Apr 202620:00

0 : 1

Full time

Manchester United

3rd in table · 71 pts

DLDLL

Pre-match win probability

44.9%Chelsea26.2%Draw29%Manchester United

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Chelsea

Chelsea vs Manchester United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence44.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Chelsea 44.9%
  • Draw 26.2%
  • Manchester United 29%

Season statistics

Premier League · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ChelseaManchester United
Goals scored (avg)
2.51.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.81.8
Wins
1420
Played
3838

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Chelsea6W 1D 3L in last 10
  • 24 OctChelsea0 – 2TottenhamL
  • 17 OctEverton0 – 2ChelseaW
  • 10 OctChelsea5 – 1BournemouthW
  • 18 SeptBrentford3 – 0ChelseaL
  • 12 SeptChelsea2 – 2Hull CityD
Manchester United1W 4D 5L in last 10
  • 25 OctManchester United0 – 3BournemouthL
  • 21 OctComo4 – 1Manchester UnitedL
  • 18 OctLeeds1 – 1Manchester UnitedD
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedL
  • 10 OctManchester United1 – 1TottenhamD
H2H
Head to headChelsea 2W · 4D · Manchester United 3W · 3 goals a game
  • 20 SeptManchester United2 – 1Chelsea
  • 16 MayChelsea1 – 0Manchester United
  • 3 NovManchester United1 – 1Chelsea
  • 4 AprChelsea4 – 3Manchester United
  • 6 DecManchester United2 – 1Chelsea
  • 25 MayManchester United4 – 1Chelsea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.2% · 1.5710% · 2.38
3.5 goals10.3% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X56.1%
X243.9%

Match result

Chelsea2.1
Draw3.6
Manchester United3.25

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance56.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance43.9%
Odds1.7

Chelsea

Chance44.9%
Odds2.1

Draw

Chance26.2%
Odds3.6

Manchester United

Chance29%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

ChelseaManchester United
Recent form73%27%
Attack68%32%
Defence50%50%
Goals model68%32%
Head-to-head44%56%
Overall61%39%

Trends

Trend · Premier League

Chelsea scored 2.5 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Chelsea conceded 1.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Premier League

Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

Trend · Premier League

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

Chelsea vs Manchester United: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

Chelsea meet Manchester United in the England, Premier League on 18 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 2.1. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 60.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Chelsea vs Manchester United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.1. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.38.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.